Will your top fantasy pick be a bust?


Tribune News Service

Should Patrick Mahomes be your No. 1 Fantasy Football pick?

Bo Suh, Staff Writer

People have different definitions of what a bust is in fantasy football. It’s not just about how many points a player scores. For me, bust picks are the ones that are drafted way too early for what they’re worth.  

For example, Patrick Mahomes is currently going as a No. 1 quarterback. Will he be bad? Absolutely not. When he plays, he is one of the best.  

However, if someone is drafts him as No. 1 overall, I think that’s too high. He’ll still score points, but so will almost any other quarterback you draft. 

Here are my thoughts on some players who might under-perform for their fantasy owners this season. 


1. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) – I like Mahomes. I would like to have him in my team, but how early he is getting drafted makes me question myself whether I would draft him or a great running back, or a wide receiver instead. He will do well, but I do not think that he will be doing as well as his average draft indicates. 

2. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) – He finished as the No. 1 quarterback last year with 4,544 passing yards and 37 passing touchdowns. He also added 421 rushing yards with eight rushing touchdowns. The year before? He had 3,089 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, 510 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns. I predict that his rushing game will be similar this year, but I have doubts about his passing game.   

Running Backs  

1. Alvin Kamara (New Orleans Saints) – Kamara finished as the top running back last year. However, with Drew Brees, the quarterback for the Saints now gone, it is questionable how much he will be able to produce in both running and passing games. And with Michael Thomas, a starting wide receiver, out for a few weeks as well, the opponent’s focus will be primarily on Kamara. Which makes me hesitant to draft him among the Top 5 running backs right now. 

2. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Kansas City Chiefs) – Edwards-Helaire’s first year with the Chiefs went OK. I remember he was drafted in the first and second rounds last year. Currently, he is going through a minor injury, and I would rather invest my pick on someone else. In the meantime, I would suggest grabbing his backup running backs, Darrel Williams or Jerick McKinnon just in case. 

Wide Receivers 

1. Davante Adams (Green Bay Packers) – I cannot believe that I am writing about Adams who I had last year and was the No. 1 wide receiver. What I am afraid of is the situation with quarterback Aaron Rodgers. If there was nothing going on with Rodgers this offseason, I would have no doubt that Adams would finish as a Top 5 wide receiver. However, with the situation around Rogers, it makes me hesitant to draft Adams early. 

2. Mike Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) – Evans is great. With Tom Brady as his quarterback, there is no doubt that he will perform well as a wide receiver. However, there are too many great receivers in the Buccaneers offense. Currently, there are Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, and even Rob Gronkowski whom Brady played with on the Patriots for years. Evans will have a great week sometimes, but don’t expect consistent production from him this year. 

Tight End  

1. Kyle Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) – Pitts is getting drafted pretty high in many fantasy leagues right now, sometimes right behind Travis Kelce and George Kittle. There is no doubt that he has high potential, but it is difficult for me to trust a rookie tight end who has not shown anything yet over other proven players like Darren Waller and Mark Andrews. 

2. Dallas Goedert (Philadelphia Eagles) – With another tight end, Zach Ertz playing for Dallas, Goedert’s ceiling is low. This is not going to be the Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez situation from the Patriots years ago. I would avoid Goedert unless Ertz is gone.